But that's still a whole lot better than the $1.71 your T-bill investment would be worth. Speaking
of inflation, in 1 year out of every 3, it wipes out any advance in the stock market (exactly 25
times in the last 75 years).
Okay, that's enough about inflation. Let's get to the good stuff. Pick the right stocks, and you
can make a fortune:
If you bought $100 of Coca-Cola stock in 1919, that's $12.5 million today even though the stock
dropped 63% in 1972. Here is the potential of true market leaders:
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1981-2000
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Home Depot
|
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up 34,000%
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1984-2000
|
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Dell Computer
|
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up 55,100%
|
|
1986-2000
|
|
Microsoft
|
|
up 61,000%
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1986-2000
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Oracle
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up 70,800%
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1998-2000
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Yahoo
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up 18,200%
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1990-2000
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Cisco
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up 27,442%
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1962-2001
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McDonald's
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up 72,000%
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1985-2000
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America Online
|
|
up 63,500%
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Other companies who saw their stock price rise thousands of percent, include Wal-Mart, Nokia,
Qualcomm, Amazon.com, and dozens of little internet companies you've probably never heard of.
Okay, pause & catch your breath. Now look at this:
1900-2000, Dow up 450,000% (with dividends re-invested)
Zikes! That’s $4,500 for each and every one dollar.
So why not just invest in big companies and forget about it, be a long-term investor?
Making money on big-company stocks is not automatic unless you buy into a mutual fund. Even if you
select your stocks from companies with a solid brand name you might still get burned.
From 1972 to 1974, adjusted for splits
-
Avon dropped from $140 down to $18.62
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Coca-cola down from $148.75 to $44.63
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IBM down from $341.31 to $150.50
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Intel down from $56.05 to $10.25
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Johnson and Johnson down from $133 to $57.60
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Eastman Kodak down from $151.75 to $57.63
-
Mc Donald’s from $77.31 down to $21.25
-
Polaroid, from $149.50 down to $14.13, now gone
-
Procter and Gamble fell from $112.75 to $67
-
Walt Disney from $211.63 to $30.75
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Xerox down to $49, from a high of $171.88
From June 1990 - June 2000
And sorry investors who’ve held on to the stocks are saying “sooner or later, these companies
have to come back!”
Remember Woolworth’s, TWA, Polaroid, and Montgomery Ward? How quickly we forget that even giants
like Texaco went through a bankruptcy reorganization.
Of the 500 largest companies in the San Francisco area which includes Silicon Valley:
|
250
|
|
lost money
|
|
in 1998
|
|
274
|
|
lost money
|
|
in 1999
|
|
302
|
|
lost money
|
|
in 2000
|
|
357
|
|
lost money
|
|
in 2001
|
Even the general market, full of big companies, can hurt you.
-
If you invested in the market in 1969, you didn’t break even for 4 years, then lost again, and
finally made money in 1981.
-
In just one day, on October 19 1987, the Dow dropped 22.8%
-
From 1973 to 1974, The S&P 500 dropped 42%
-
There were 9 recessions in the past 30 years
Sounds awful! Why would anyone make such losing investments? Well hang on there, wait just a
second. I wouldn't send you down a dead-end street.
The average bear market may last 9 months, but the average bull market lasts 3 years and 9 months.
From 1982 through 1999, the S&P 500 averaged a gain of 19% a year - that's a total return of
2,200% !
It even gets better:
In 1961, if you began investing just $5.00 a day in the S&P 500 and stopped saving after
only 10 years, you would have (in 2001) a cool $1,212,000 - that’s 1.2 million dollars!
I hope a light is glowing brightly in your head, if not you'd better check your pulse. You see, if
you are properly invested, it just doesn't matter what the market does year-to-year.
Yes, there were 9 recessions this past 30 years, but there were also 9 recoveries!
No matter how severe the bad years, the stock market always recovers and soars to new
heights. Always has, and as long as America stays strong, it always will.
|
“Your objective is not to be right all the time. It’s to make big money when you are right and
to get out when you appear to be wrong … I want to buy only really great companies that have unique
new products or superior services. I’m looking for true market leaders.”
William O’Neil
founder of the Investor’s Business Daily
|
Other Stock Market Basics Topics:
-
Stock Market Investing – the Right Way
- More Stock Marketing Investing
- How to Pick Winning Stocks
- The Golden Rule of Investing
- Avoid Psychological Traps to Have Successful Investing
- Changes in Stock Values Can Be Big Numbers
- How to Invest Smart
- Stock Advice - Important Selling Rules
- Poor Stock Buying Decisions
- Market Indicators
- Stock Market Cycles
- When a bear stock market may not be a bear market
- Stock Index Futures
- Four Things that Affect Stock Valuation
- What is a P/E ratio?
- Value Investing
- Cheap Stocks
- What is a Financial Statement?
- Analyzing Financial Statements
- Stock Market Tip - Red Flags to Look For When Investing?
- The Annual Report – How to Read
- Stock Market Analysts – Stock Market Advice and Tips
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